1-Business Dynamics - Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World
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  • Book Title : 1-Business Dynamics - Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World
  • Publisher : Irwin McGraw-Hill
  • Year : 2000
  • NO of Pages : 982
  • Author : John D. Sterman
  • Contents :

     


    PARTI PERSPECTIVE AND PROCESS
    1 Learning in and about Complex Systems
    2 System Dynamics in Action
    3 The Modeling Process
    4 Structure and Behavior of Dynamic Systems

     

     

    PART II TOOLS FOR SYSTEMS THINKING
    5 Causal Loop Diagrams
    6 Stocks and Flows
    7 Dynamics of Stocks and Flows
    8 Closing the Loop: Dynamics of Simple Structures

     

     

    PART III THE DYNAMICS OF GROWTH
    9 S-Shaped Growth: Epidemics, Innovation Diffusion, and the Growth of New Products
    10 Path Dependence and Positive Feedback

     

     

    PART IV TOOLS FOR MODELING DYNAMIC SYSTEMS
    11 Delays
    12 Coflows and Aging Chains
    13 Modeling Decision Making
    14 Formulating Nonlinear Relationships
    15 Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
    16 Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation

     

     

    PARTV INSTABILITY AND OSCILLATION
    17 Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
    18 The Manufacturing Supply Chain
    19 The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
    20 The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles

     

     

    PART VI MODEL TESTING
    21 Truth and Beauty: Validation and Model Testing

     

     

    PART VII COMMENCEMENT
    22 Challenges for the Future

     

  • Introduction / Abstract ISBN :

    System dynamics is an approach to the study of complexity. Originally developed at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology by Jay Forrester, system dynamics is a unique method devised to help managers and public policymakers design and implement high leverage policies for sustainable success. In a comprehensive new treatment, John Sterman, a leading authority on system dynamics, explains what system dynamics is and how it can be successfully applied to solve business and organizational problems. Business Dynamics includes principles for modeling complex dynamic systems, simulation models, experiential exercises, and case studies of successful applications.

  • ISBN : 0-07-231135-5
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